1. Derek Carr
Sitting at QB14, Derek Carr is coming off a strong season and is set to improve in 2022. The most notable reason for improvement is the acquisition of the league's best wideout, Davante Adams. Adams has played his entire career with one of the best Quarterbacks ever, Aaron Rodgers, but there is no doubt that regardless of Quarterback, he is a great receiver.
While Carr had his most passing yards ever last season, he had an off year on Touchdown passes thus leading to decreased fantasy production. Playing in an extremely competitive division and recently signing a big contract extension, Carr must continue playing at a high level, making me optimistic for 2022.
2. Ryan Tannehill
There is no way around the fact that Tannehill was ultimately the reason that the Titans season ended in the playoffs. His season was a considerable regression from his prior two in Tennessee and as a result, his ADP has fallen considerably.
While he lost his top target, A.J. Brown, in a trade to the Eagles, the Titans added WR Treylon Burks via the draft and WR Robert Woods through trade. Additionally, the team signed TE Austin Hooper which will be extremely important given that Tannehill did not have a consistent TE1 last season.
Still finishing as QB13 last season, Tannehill has multiple new weapons, a new backup QB pushing him to improve, and another year of experience for his Offensive Coordinator, Todd Downing. The best running back in the NFL, Derrick Henry, who missed the team's final 9 games, will also return which will give Tannehill a major boost.
3. DeShaun Watson
This is the riskiest, most controversial but also highest potential player on this list. Currently ranked as the QB13, Watson was a top 5 finisher in 2018, 2019, and 2020. There is no doubt about his talent and potential to return to those levels but Watson did not play in 2021 because of a major problem: legal issues.
There is a high likelihood Watson will be suspended for some amount of games in 2022 and that total could be as high as the entire season. He may be worth a flier but should be one of at least 3 Quarterbacks you have on your team.
4. Matt Ryan
Changing scenery after 14 seasons with the Falcons, Matt Ryan is now in a better position to succeed with the Colts. Ryan had one real target last season and is now instead throwing to Michael Pittman, Parris Campbell, and has Jonathan Taylor in the backfield.
It is not a perfect setup given Ryan's age of 37 and a lack of WR depth but still, at QB21, he is worth a selection as a backup. He throws the ball more than almost any QB in recent history and as a result, can be a very solid option.
5. Justin Fields
In 2021, Fields had a pretty typical rookie season, throwing more interceptions than touchdowns and sitting behind the team's #1 QB, Andy Dalton, for a good portion of the season. While Fields' situation does somewhat resemble Jalen Hurts' from last season, I do not see quite the same upside.
The upside with Fields, however, is his rushing ability, growth from year 1 to 2, and cheap price of QB17. Especially if you select a top 5 Quarterback (that list is coming soon), there is no reason not to take someone like Fields who is riskier than someone like Matt Ryan or Ryan Tannehill but provides equal or more upside.
Deep Sleeper: Davis Mills
A third round pick by the Texans in 2021, Mills started 11 games last season and totaled a respectable 16 touchdown passes to 11 interceptions.
Mills is not a Quarterback who will light up the statsheet but despite a poor team around him, he put up impressive numbers. He has one key target, Brandin Cooks, who I am a big fan of, but lacks a strong team around him which is a big contributor to his QB28 ranking. Still, he would interest me in a dynasty league or 12+ man league where you need a backup.
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